What are the strategic security risks facing humanity in 2019? Risk Group’s Strategic Security Risk Report identifies the top ten strategic security risks facing humanity.
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Science and technology are advancing rapidly. Recent progress in quantum physics, biotechnology, nanotechnology, genetics, artificial intelligence, robotics, drones, 3D printing and more is proving to be disruptive. These technologies, individually and collectively, have the potential to benefit humanity significantly. However, these same disruptive technologies can enable the development of asymmetric, next-generation weapons against which we are not yet prepared.
In this era, the pace of technological development has surpassed a nation’s ability to govern effectively. The gaps and vulnerabilities between emerging technologies and governance models are visible across cyberspace, aquaspace, geospace, and space (CAGS). We live in a time where security risks emerging from the threat of autonomous weapons, bio-weapons, nano-weapons, cyber-weapons, and more are so dire that there is no alternative but to start thinking about how the future of humanity will be affected. While there are some siloed efforts focused on managing the risks of artificial intelligence, the lack of focus on existing and emerging dual-use technologies across the contested commons of CAGS and their emerging security risks is becoming a cause of great concern.
These dual-use technologies are re-writing the rules of information, intelligence, survival, and security. It is said that the better the strategic security intelligence, the better the strategy for human survival and security in CAGS and beyond. Since strategic security intelligence furthers our advances towards individual and collective goals for humanity beyond CAGS (by suggesting ways to adapt and/or manage around an array of CAGS risk variables and opportunities), understanding strategic security risk intelligence is fundamental for individuals and entities across nations: its government, industries, organizations, and academia (NGIOA).
It is one thing to gather strategic security risk data and extract information, but it is an entirely different thing to turn that information into meaningful and actionable strategic security risk intelligence. Strategic Security Intelligence must provide information that can be acted upon by everyone, individuals, and entities across NGIOA if it is going to be deemed of value for the security of CAGS.
A challenge of our time is that the market for intelligence is now politicized and largely about providing information that makes decision-makers feel better. The survival of humanity necessitates developing insights about integrated CAGS security risks. It matters that we all understand strategic security risks and that we all have access to much-needed intelligence to play a role in shaping the future of humanity.
Security is no longer a government affair. It’s an NGIOA affair. Security is no longer about geospace security. It’s about CAGS security. It is this new emerging security paradigm that we at Risk Group are focused on. We hope you join our efforts for the future of humanity.
Jayshree Pandya, Founder, and CEO, Risk Group LLC